INSA poll of 2 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Dec 2017 to 2 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 2,012
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%-0.5
- SPD19.5%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-0.5
- Grüne10.0%+0.5
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Dec 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 2,012 people were surveyed from 29 Dec 2017 to 2 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Dec 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.5average 9.5
- SPD -1.3average 20.8
- Grüne -1.2average 11.2
- AfD +0.8average 12.2
- FDP +0.8average 9.2
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 32.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- SPD128
- AfD85
- Linke72
- FDP66
- Grüne66
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.