INSA poll of 23 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 22 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 2,203
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+2.0
- SPD20.5%-0.5
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP10.5%+1.5
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Grüne9.5%-0.5
- Others3.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Dec 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,203 people were surveyed from 21 to 22 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Dec 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 11.2
- FDP +1.3average 9.2
- AfD +0.8average 12.2
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 32.4
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
- SPD -0.4average 20.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD134
- AfD85
- FDP69
- Linke65
- Grüne62
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.