INSA poll of 19 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 2,031
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- Grüne10.0%-0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Dec 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,031 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Dec 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher and Linke 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 12.2
- Linke +1.7average 9.3
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 32.3
- Grüne -1.1average 11.1
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
- SPD -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- AfD92
- Linke72
- Grüne66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.