INSA poll of 12 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 2,013
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD22.0%±0
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- Grüne10.5%+0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others3.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Dec 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,013 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Dec 2017, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 12.0
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 32.4
- Linke +1.0average 9.5
- SPD +0.9average 21.1
- Grüne -0.5average 11.0
- FDP -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- SPD144
- AfD88
- Grüne69
- Linke68
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.