INSA poll of 5 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 2,063
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- SPD22.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Nov 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,063 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 32.6
- AfD +1.5average 11.5
- Linke +1.5average 9.5
- SPD +1.0average 21.0
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- FDP +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- SPD143
- AfD84
- Linke71
- FDP65
- Grüne65
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.