Single poll

INSA poll of 27 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
24 to 27 Nov 2017
Respondents
2,003
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%+1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%-2.0
  • Grüne10.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Nov 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Nov 2017, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.3average 20.7
  • AfD +1.2average 11.8
  • FDP -0.9average 10.9
  • Grüne -0.8average 10.8
  • Linke +0.7average 9.3
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 32.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 208 seatsSPD: 143 seatsAfD: 84 seatsFDP: 65 seatsGrüne: 65 seatsLinke: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU208
  • SPD143
  • AfD84
  • FDP65
  • Grüne65
  • Linke65
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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