INSA poll of 7 November 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Nov 2017
- Respondents
- 2,023
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- FDP10.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- Grüne8.5%-1.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Oct 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,023 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Oct 2017, Grüne loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 11.9
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 32.5
- Grüne -1.4average 9.9
- Linke +1.1average 9.4
- SPD +0.9average 21.1
- FDP -0.4average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD144
- AfD89
- FDP69
- Linke69
- Grüne56
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.