INSA poll of 30 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 28 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,024
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- Grüne10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,024 people were surveyed from 27 to 28 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 33.1
- AfD +1.5average 11.5
- Grüne +0.9average 9.1
- SPD -0.6average 21.6
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
- FDP +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- AfD85
- FDP72
- Grüne66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.