INSA poll of 24 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%-0.5
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Grüne9.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 23 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 11.4
- FDP -0.6average 10.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 33.5
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
- SPD -0.4average 21.4
- Grüne -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- SPD138
- AfD85
- FDP66
- Linke66
- Grüne59
- CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.