INSA poll of 16 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 2,011
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- SPD21.5%-0.5
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Grüne9.5%+0.5
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.5%. 2,011 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Oct 2017, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 34.2
- AfD +2.1average 10.9
- Grüne +0.6average 8.9
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
- FDP -0.2average 10.2
- SPD +0.1average 21.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD143
- AfD86
- FDP66
- Grüne63
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.