INSA poll of 10 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 2,015
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- Grüne9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Oct 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,015 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 35.0
- AfD +2.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.2average 9.8
- Grüne +0.6average 8.4
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
- SPD +0.4average 21.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD145
- AfD85
- FDP72
- Grüne59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.