INSA poll of 1 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 28 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 1,071
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-3.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP12.0%+3.0
- Grüne10.0%+2.0
- Linke9.0%-2.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Sep 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,071 people were surveyed from 27 to 28 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.5 points lower and FDP 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.5average 35.5
- FDP +2.3average 9.7
- AfD +2.1average 10.9
- Grüne +1.9average 8.1
- SPD -0.7average 21.7
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- AfD85
- FDP79
- Grüne66
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.