Single poll

INSA poll of 22 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
21 to 22 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-2.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%+2.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 21 to 22 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.5average 10.5
  • CDU/CSU -2.3average 36.3
  • Linke +1.5average 9.5
  • SPD -0.9average 21.9
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 85 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD138
  • AfD85
  • Linke72
  • FDP59
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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