INSA poll of 18 September 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 2,042
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%-0.5
- SPD22.0%-1.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Sep 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,042 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Sep 2017, SPD loses 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.6average 9.4
- AfD +1.3average 9.7
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 37.0
- Grüne -0.9average 7.9
- SPD -0.3average 22.3
- FDP -0.3average 9.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU236
- SPD145
- Linke72
- AfD72
- FDP59
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.