Single poll

INSA poll of 11 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,054
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.5%±0
  • SPD23.5%±0
  • AfD11.0%+0.5
  • Linke10.5%+0.5
  • FDP9.0%+0.5
  • Grüne6.0%-0.5
  • Others3.5%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by SPD on 23.5%. 2,054 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.8average 9.2
  • Grüne -1.8average 7.8
  • Linke +1.3average 9.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 37.2
  • SPD +0.4average 23.1
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 238 seatsSPD: 153 seatsAfD: 72 seatsLinke: 69 seatsFDP: 59 seatsGrüne: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU238
  • SPD153
  • AfD72
  • Linke69
  • FDP59
  • Grüne39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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