Single poll

INSA poll of 14 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 Nov 2017
Respondents
2,049
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
  • SPD20.0%-2.0
  • AfD13.5%±0
  • FDP10.5%±0
  • Linke10.5%±0
  • Grüne9.0%+0.5
  • Others4.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Nov 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,049 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Nov 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.2average 9.3
  • Grüne -1.1average 10.1
  • FDP -0.9average 11.4
  • SPD -0.8average 20.8
  • AfD +0.8average 12.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 31.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 132 seatsAfD: 89 seatsFDP: 69 seatsLinke: 69 seatsGrüne: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD132
  • AfD89
  • FDP69
  • Linke69
  • Grüne59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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