Single poll

INSA poll of 22 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
18 to 21 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,036
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 2,036 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.3average 7.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 39.0
  • Grüne -0.7average 7.7
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • SPD -0.2average 24.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 247 seatsSPD: 156 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 59 seatsLinke: 58 seatsGrüne: 45 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU247
  • SPD156
  • AfD65
  • FDP59
  • Linke58
  • Grüne45
  • CDU/CSU + SPD403 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne350 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.