Single poll

INSA poll of 15 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
11 to 14 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,025
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.5
  • Grüne7.0%+0.5
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,025 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2017, Linke loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.1average 7.9
  • CDU/CSU -1.9average 38.9
  • SPD +0.9average 24.1
  • FDP +0.7average 8.3
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsSPD: 163 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 58 seatsLinke: 58 seatsGrüne: 45 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • SPD163
  • AfD65
  • FDP58
  • Linke58
  • Grüne45
  • CDU/CSU + SPD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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