Single poll

INSA poll of 7 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
4 to 7 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,046
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%+0.5
  • Linke10.5%+0.5
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%-0.5
  • Grüne6.5%-0.5
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Aug 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,046 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Aug 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and Linke 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.0average 39.0
  • Linke +1.9average 8.6
  • Grüne -1.2average 7.7
  • SPD +1.1average 23.9
  • AfD +1.1average 7.9
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsSPD: 163 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 58 seatsAfD: 58 seatsGrüne: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • SPD163
  • Linke68
  • FDP58
  • AfD58
  • Grüne42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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