INSA poll of 1 August 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 2,046
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU37.0%-0.5
- SPD24.5%-0.5
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- AfD9.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%+0.5
- Grüne7.0%+0.5
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 2,046 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2017, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 39.1
- AfD +1.6average 7.9
- Linke +1.4average 8.6
- Grüne -0.7average 7.7
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
- SPD +0.5average 24.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- SPD159
- Linke65
- AfD62
- FDP58
- Grüne45
- CDU/CSU + SPD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.