INSA poll of 25 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU37.5%+1.5
- SPD25.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.5%±0
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others3.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.5%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.9average 8.6
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 39.1
- AfD +1.3average 7.7
- Grüne -1.2average 7.7
- SPD +0.9average 24.1
- FDP -0.1average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- SPD163
- Linke68
- AfD58
- FDP55
- Grüne42
- CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.