INSA poll of 18 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 2,026
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- SPD25.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+0.5
- Linke9.5%±0
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jul 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,026 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Jul 2017, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 38.8
- AfD +2.2average 7.8
- Grüne -1.3average 7.8
- SPD +1.1average 23.9
- Linke +0.7average 8.8
- FDP -0.1average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- SPD165
- AfD66
- Linke63
- FDP56
- Grüne43
- CDU/CSU + SPD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.