INSA poll of 11 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%-0.5
- SPD25.0%±0
- Linke9.5%-1.0
- AfD9.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others4.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2017, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 39.0
- AfD +1.8average 7.7
- Grüne -1.3average 7.8
- SPD +1.0average 24.0
- Linke +0.8average 8.7
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- SPD165
- Linke63
- AfD63
- FDP59
- Grüne43
- CDU/CSU + SPD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.