INSA poll of 3 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jun 2017 to 3 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 2,044
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.5%-0.5
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- AfD9.0%+0.5
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others3.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,044 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2017 to 3 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Linke 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 39.1
- Linke +1.9average 8.6
- AfD +1.4average 7.6
- Grüne -1.2average 7.7
- SPD +1.0average 24.0
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- SPD163
- Linke69
- FDP59
- AfD59
- Grüne42
- CDU/CSU + SPD401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.