Single poll

INSA poll of 29 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 Aug 2017
Respondents
2,034
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne6.5%-0.5
  • Others4.5%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 2,034 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.5average 8.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.4average 38.4
  • Linke +1.2average 8.8
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 7.5
  • SPD +0.9average 23.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsSPD: 158 seatsLinke: 66 seatsAfD: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • SPD158
  • Linke66
  • AfD66
  • FDP53
  • Grüne43
  • CDU/CSU + SPD402 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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