Single poll

INSA poll of 12 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
9 to 12 Jun 2017
Respondents
2,051
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.5%-0.5
  • SPD23.5%+0.5
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne6.5%-0.5
  • Others3.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.5%, followed by SPD on 23.5%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2017, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.5average 8.5
  • SPD -1.2average 24.7
  • Grüne -1.1average 7.6
  • AfD +0.8average 8.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 38.2
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 153 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD153
  • Linke72
  • FDP59
  • AfD59
  • Grüne42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke317 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne346 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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