Single poll

INSA poll of 6 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Jun 2017
Respondents
2,037
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+2.5
  • SPD23.0%-3.0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 May 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,037 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 May 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.5 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.8 points higher and SPD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.8average 8.2
  • SPD -2.3average 25.3
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.2average 8.2
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 38.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 249 seatsSPD: 151 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsAfD: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU249
  • SPD151
  • Linke72
  • FDP59
  • AfD53
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD400 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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