Single poll

INSA poll of 29 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
26 to 29 May 2017
Respondents
2,053
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.5%-1.0
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%+0.5
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne6.0%±0
  • Others3.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 May 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.5%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 2,053 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 May 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and FDP 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.1average 37.6
  • FDP +1.9average 8.1
  • Linke +1.9average 8.1
  • Grüne -1.3average 7.3
  • AfD +0.9average 8.1
  • SPD -0.5average 26.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 232 seatsSPD: 170 seatsFDP: 65 seatsLinke: 65 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU232
  • SPD170
  • FDP65
  • Linke65
  • AfD59
  • Grüne39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD402 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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