INSA poll of 20 June 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Jun 2017
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.5%-1.0
- SPD25.0%+1.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others3.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2017, SPD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 38.2
- Grüne -1.1average 7.6
- AfD +0.9average 8.1
- SPD +0.7average 24.3
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- SPD163
- Linke71
- FDP59
- AfD58
- Grüne42
- CDU/CSU + SPD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.