Single poll

INSA poll of 9 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
5 to 8 May 2017
Respondents
2,067
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+1.0
  • SPD27.0%-1.5
  • Linke10.0%-0.5
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%+0.5
  • Others4.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 2,067 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2017, SPD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.1 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.1average 29.1
  • Linke +1.5average 8.5
  • AfD +1.3average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 35.8
  • FDP +0.7average 6.3
  • Grüne -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 229 seatsSPD: 177 seatsLinke: 66 seatsAfD: 66 seatsFDP: 46 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU229
  • SPD177
  • Linke66
  • AfD66
  • FDP46
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD406 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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