INSA poll of 2 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017
- Respondents
- 2,035
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD28.5%-1.5
- Linke10.5%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Grüne6.5%±0
- Others4.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Apr 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 28.5%. 2,035 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Apr 2017, SPD loses 1.5 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.0average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 35.6
- SPD -1.3average 29.8
- FDP +1.1average 5.9
- Grüne -0.8average 7.3
- AfD +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- SPD188
- Linke69
- AfD59
- FDP46
- Grüne43
- CDU/CSU + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne327 of 630
- SPD + Linke + AfD316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.