Single poll

INSA poll of 25 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
21 to 24 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,041
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD30.0%-0.5
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke9.5%+0.5
  • FDP6.5%±0
  • Grüne6.5%+0.5
  • Others3.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Apr 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 2,041 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Apr 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.2average 8.3
  • AfD +1.1average 8.9
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 35.0
  • SPD -0.9average 30.9
  • FDP +0.8average 5.7
  • Grüne -0.4average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 222 seatsSPD: 196 seatsAfD: 65 seatsLinke: 62 seatsFDP: 43 seatsGrüne: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU222
  • SPD196
  • AfD65
  • Linke62
  • FDP43
  • Grüne42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP327 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne326 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke323 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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