Single poll

INSA poll of 19 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
14 to 18 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,038
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD30.5%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+0.5
  • FDP6.5%±0
  • Grüne6.0%-0.5
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 30.5%. 2,038 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.3average 7.3
  • AfD +1.0average 9.0
  • Linke +0.8average 8.2
  • FDP +0.7average 5.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 34.6
  • SPD -0.5average 31.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 200 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 43 seatsGrüne: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD200
  • AfD66
  • Linke59
  • FDP43
  • Grüne39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD423 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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