INSA poll of 16 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 May 2017
- Respondents
- 2,037
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Grüne6.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 2,037 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 8.3
- Grüne -1.3average 7.3
- SPD -1.2average 28.2
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 36.7
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU236
- SPD177
- AfD66
- Linke59
- FDP53
- Grüne39
- CDU/CSU + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.