Single poll

INSA poll of 13 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 Feb 2017
Respondents
2,028
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD31.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU30.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Feb 2017.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 30.0%. 2,028 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Feb 2017, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.5 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.5average 33.5
  • SPD +3.0average 28.0
  • Linke +1.3average 8.7
  • Grüne -1.3average 8.3
  • FDP -0.8average 5.8
  • AfD +0.6average 11.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 206 seatsCDU/CSU: 199 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 66 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD206
  • CDU/CSU199
  • AfD80
  • Linke66
  • Grüne46
  • FDP33
  • SPD + CDU/CSU405 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP319 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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