Single poll

INSA poll of 21 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
17 to 20 Feb 2017
Respondents
2,030
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.5%+1.5
  • SPD30.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.5%-0.5
  • Grüne6.5%-0.5
  • FDP5.5%+0.5
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 2,030 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 33.0
  • Grüne -1.4average 7.9
  • Linke +1.3average 8.2
  • FDP -0.3average 5.8
  • SPD +0.2average 29.8
  • AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 211 seatsSPD: 201 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 64 seatsGrüne: 43 seatsFDP: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU211
  • SPD201
  • AfD74
  • Linke64
  • Grüne43
  • FDP37
  • CDU/CSU + SPD412 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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