Single poll

INSA poll of 6 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 6 Feb 2017
Respondents
2,042
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD31.0%+4.0
  • CDU/CSU30.0%-3.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-2.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Feb 2017.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 30.0%. 2,042 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Feb 2017, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 5.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 4.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +5.5average 25.5
  • CDU/CSU -4.7average 34.7
  • Grüne -1.6average 8.6
  • Linke +1.0average 9.0
  • AfD +0.3average 11.7
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 203 seatsCDU/CSU: 197 seatsAfD: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD203
  • CDU/CSU197
  • AfD79
  • Linke66
  • Grüne46
  • FDP39
  • SPD + CDU/CSU400 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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