INSA poll of 2 February 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2017 to 1 Feb 2017
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+0.5
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Grüne9.0%+1.5
- Linke9.0%-1.5
- FDP6.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2017 to 1 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2017, Grüne gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 24.5
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 35.4
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
- AfD +0.3average 11.7
- Grüne +0.1average 8.9
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD177
- AfD79
- Grüne59
- Linke59
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.