INSA poll of 30 January 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Jan 2017
- Respondents
- 2,088
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%±0
- SPD26.0%+5.0
- AfD13.0%-1.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- Grüne7.5%-1.0
- FDP6.5%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jan 2017.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 2,088 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jan 2017, SPD gains 5.0 points, AfD loses 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.9 points lower and SPD 3.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.9average 36.4
- SPD +3.7average 22.3
- Grüne -1.8average 9.3
- Linke +1.2average 9.3
- AfD +0.8average 12.2
- FDP +0.5average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- SPD171
- AfD85
- Linke69
- Grüne49
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.