Single poll
INSA poll of 24 January 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 23 Jan 2017
- Respondents
- 1,992
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.5%
- SPD21.0%
- AfD14.5%
- Linke11.0%
- Grüne8.5%
- FDP7.5%
- Others5.0%
32.5%
CDU/CSU
21.0%
SPD
14.5%
AfD
11.0%
Linke
8.5%
Grüne
7.5%
FDP
5.0%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,992 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.5 points lower and AfD 2.4 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.5average 37.0
- AfD +2.4average 12.1
- FDP +1.4average 6.1
- Linke +1.2average 9.8
- Grüne -0.6average 9.1
- SPD +0.2average 20.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- SPD139
- AfD96
- Linke73
- Grüne56
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.