Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
6 to 8 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,505
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Oct 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,505 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.7average 31.7
  • FDP +1.1average 10.9
  • Grüne +1.1average 9.9
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • AfD +0.4average 12.6
  • SPD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 197 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 85 seatsFDP: 79 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU197
  • SPD138
  • AfD85
  • FDP79
  • Grüne72
  • Linke59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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