Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
10 to 15 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,382
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Nov 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,382 people were surveyed from 10 to 15 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.0average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 31.7
  • AfD -0.6average 12.6
  • Linke +0.4average 9.6
  • SPD +0.3average 20.7
  • FDP -0.2average 11.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 72 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 66 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • SPD138
  • AfD79
  • FDP72
  • Grüne72
  • Linke66
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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