Infratest dimap poll of 20 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Morgenmagazin
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 18 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,026
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Oct 2017.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,026 people were surveyed from 16 to 18 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 33.5
- Grüne +2.1average 8.9
- FDP +1.6average 10.4
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
- SPD -0.5average 21.5
- AfD +0.5average 11.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- FDP79
- AfD79
- Grüne72
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.