Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 12 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
9 to 11 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,506
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-5.0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+1.5
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Grüne10.0%+2.5
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Sep 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 9 to 11 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points, FDP gains 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and SPD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.4average 34.4
  • SPD -1.8average 21.8
  • Grüne +1.4average 8.6
  • FDP +1.0average 10.0
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
  • AfD -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 214 seatsSPD: 134 seatsFDP: 74 seatsAfD: 74 seatsGrüne: 67 seatsLinke: 67 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU214
  • SPD134
  • FDP74
  • AfD74
  • Grüne67
  • Linke67
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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