Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 11 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
8 to 10 May 2017
Respondents
1,500
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+2.0
  • SPD27.0%-3.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+2.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Apr 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 21 Apr 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.7 points lower and Linke 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.7average 28.7
  • Linke -1.7average 8.7
  • FDP +1.6average 6.4
  • AfD +1.4average 8.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 36.1
  • Grüne +0.9average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsSPD: 175 seatsAfD: 65 seatsFDP: 52 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsLinke: 45 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • SPD175
  • AfD65
  • FDP52
  • Grüne52
  • Linke45
  • CDU/CSU + SPD416 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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