Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 21 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
18 to 19 Apr 2017
Respondents
934
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+1.0
  • SPD30.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Apr 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 934 people were surveyed from 18 to 19 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Apr 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.1average 8.9
  • SPD -0.9average 30.9
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 34.7
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
  • Grüne ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 230 seatsSPD: 197 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 52 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU230
  • SPD197
  • AfD66
  • Linke52
  • Grüne46
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD427 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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