Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
16 to 17 May 2017
Respondents
1,017
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 May 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,017 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 2.7 points lower and FDP 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -2.7average 8.7
  • FDP +1.8average 7.2
  • SPD -1.5average 27.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 37.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 7.0
  • AfD +0.9average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 249 seatsSPD: 171 seatsFDP: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU249
  • SPD171
  • FDP59
  • AfD59
  • Grüne53
  • Linke39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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