Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Morgenmagazin
Fieldwork period
20 to 22 Feb 2017
Respondents
1,047
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD32.0%+4.0
  • CDU/CSU31.0%-3.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 31.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Morgenmagazin.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2017, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.9average 30.1
  • CDU/CSU -1.7average 32.7
  • Linke -1.4average 8.4
  • AfD +0.5average 10.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 212 seatsCDU/CSU: 206 seatsAfD: 73 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD212
  • CDU/CSU206
  • AfD73
  • Grüne53
  • Linke46
  • FDP40
  • SPD + CDU/CSU418 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne332 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke331 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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