Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
6 to 8 Mar 2017
Respondents
1,502
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
  • SPD31.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Feb 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Feb 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +0.7average 10.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 32.5
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • SPD +0.3average 30.7
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 203 seatsAfD: 72 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD203
  • AfD72
  • Grüne53
  • Linke53
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD413 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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