Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
30 Jan 2017 to 1 Feb 2017
Respondents
1,506
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
  • SPD28.0%+5.0
  • AfD12.0%-2.0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jan 2017.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2017 to 1 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jan 2017, SPD gains 5.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.7 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.7average 24.3
  • Linke -1.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 35.2
  • Grüne -1.1average 9.1
  • AfD +0.3average 11.7
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 184 seatsAfD: 79 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 52 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD184
  • AfD79
  • Grüne53
  • Linke52
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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